Politics
Elections, legislation, geopolitics. 80 markets tracked with live AI Oracle forecasts.
politics·resolves in 8mo
+1.0ppWill Democrats win the House in 2026?
Market27%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 8mo
+0.0ppWill Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
Market43%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 2.5y
+0.0ppWill the Democratic nominee win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Market39%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 1.8y
+0.0ppWill Kamala Harris enter the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
Market9%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 2mo
+0.2ppWill Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
Market9%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 7mo
+7.4ppWill James Comey be arrested before Jan 2027?
Market99%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 8mo
+0.0ppWill House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027?
Market27%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 7d
-0.1ppWill any NATO member state boycott the USA World Cup in 2026?
Market2%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 1.0y
+0.0ppWill Steve Hilton finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Market3%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 1.0y
+0.3ppWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Market98%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
-0.9ppWill a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jun 1, 2026?
Market2%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+3.0ppWill Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-06-01T14:00:00.000Z?
Market21%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 2mo
-1.0ppWill legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Aug 1, 2026?
Market4%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
-1.0ppWill the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between May 3, 2026 and May 9, 2026?
Market1%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+1.5ppWill the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between May 10, 2026 and May 16, 2026?
Market21%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 9d
+0.0ppWill the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between May 24, 2026 and May 30, 2026?
Market100%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+0.0ppHow many House members will vote Yea on a House Resolution to expel Representative Eric Swalwell?
Market2%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
-3.0ppWill Trump’s first officially announced pick for Chairman of the Federal Reserve be confirmed as Chairman of the Federal Reserve before Jun 1, 2026?
Market91%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 13d
-0.1ppWill Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
Market0%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
-1.0ppWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Jun 1, 2026?
Market1%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+0.0ppWill Tulsi Gabbard leaves Director of National Intelligence (DNI) before Jun 1, 2026?
Market99%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
+0.1ppWho will win California's top-two primary for governor?
Market4%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
+0.1ppWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?
Market10%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
-0.1ppWill Michael Thurmond be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Georgia?
Market0%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
+3.0ppWill Burt Jones be the Republican nominee for Governor in Georgia?
Market34%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
-31.8ppWill Randy Feenstra be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa?
Market0%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
-0.1ppWill Casey Putsch be the Republican nominee for Governor in Ohio?
Market0%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
+0.0ppWill Pamela Evette be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina?
Market88%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 7mo
-2.0ppWill the US government be shut down for at least 70 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?
Market97%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 27d
+0.0ppWill Trump buy Greenland?
Market1%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 26d
+0.3ppWill Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2026?
Market7%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+19.1ppWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 1, 2026?
Market27%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+0.0ppWill the President be impeached before Jun 1, 2026?
Market1%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+0.0ppWill Kash Patel announce their departure as FBI Director before Jun 1, 2026?
Market27%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+0.0ppWill Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jun 1, 2026?
Market20%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
+1.0ppWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-4?
Market63%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+0.0ppWill Trump make 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in May 2026?
Market2%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 1.0y
-0.5ppWho will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?
Market1%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 1.0y
-14.5ppWill Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
Market23%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
-0.4ppWill Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026?
Market7%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 26d
-11.0ppWill Keir Starmer leave Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jul 1, 2026?
Market23%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 28d
+0.0ppWill Tim Walz leave the governorship of Minnesota after Issuance and before July 2026?
Market4%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+0.0ppWill Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jun 1, 2026?
Market18%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+15.0ppWill Marty Makary be out as FDA commissioner before Jun 1, 2026?
Market75%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 1.0y
-0.5ppWho will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
Market24%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 26d
-0.8ppWhen will marijuana be rescheduled?
Market4%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 11mo
+0.1ppWill the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment be between 0% and 3%?
Market1%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
-6.4ppWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-2?
Market1%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
+25.9ppWill Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-3?
Market100%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 1.0y
+0.0ppWill the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 5% and 10%?
Market0%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
-3.1ppWhat states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections?
Market6%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 7mo
+0.0ppWill "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?
Market9%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
+0.0ppWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Alabama?
Market92%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
-1.0ppWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia?
Market82%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
+0.1ppWill Bill Cassidy be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Louisiana?
Market93%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
-1.4ppWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine?
Market98%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
+0.0ppWill Abdul El-Sayed be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan?
Market28%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
-0.5ppWill Ken Paxton be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas?
Market4%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+1.8ppWill Trump sue Powell before 2026?
Market4%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 27d
+0.0ppWill legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline become law before Jul 1, 2026?
Market14%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 26d
+0.0ppWill the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jul 1, 2026?
Market2%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 2mo
-0.0ppWill it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?
Market1%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 2mo
+0.0ppWill Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026?
Market44%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+9.5ppWill Donald Trump visit China before May 15, 2026?
Market75%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+0.0ppWill Donald Trump endorse Andy Barr in the 2026 Kentucky Senate Republican primary before May 19, 2026?
Market74%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+0.0ppWill Donald Trump visit Iran before Jun 1, 2026?
Market1%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 16d
-1.0ppWill Donald Trump attend any 2026 Pro Basketball finals game in person?
Market94%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 2mo
+0.0ppWill Donald Trump leave office before August 1, 2026?
Market3%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 1mo
+0.0ppWill Donald Trump attend UFC 329?
Market19%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
-2.0ppWill the President try to fire the Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026?
Market5%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 1.0y
+0.0ppWill the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 20% and 100%?
Market100%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 5mo
-3.8ppWill Dem Nominee be James Talarico AND GOP Nominee be John Cornyn for Nov 2026?
Market0%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+26.5ppWill the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
Market36%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 10mo
+0.1ppWill the total vote count for all options in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment be above 2600000?
Market87%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves today
+6.3ppWill Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026?
Market9%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 27d
-0.1ppWill JD Vance visit Iran before Jul 1, 2026?
Market3%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 7mo
+0.0ppWill John Fetterman vote for the next budget resolution?
Market1%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 11mo
-0.2ppWill Vivek Ramaswamy receive between 55% and 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary?
Market0%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 1.0y
+0.0ppWill Spencer Pratt receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Market1%
$0 24h vol
politics·resolves in 26d
-0.2ppVolodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jul 1, 2026?
Market5%
$0 24h vol