For retail traders
Describe a belief. Get a live strategy.
You think oil breaks $120 by July. Thesis decomposes your reasoning, maps it to live markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, and monitors the position as news breaks.
Natural language in →
› I think the Fed will cut 50bps before September because inflation is coming down faster than the market expects and Powell is under political pressure.
Live strategy output →
Fed cuts 50bps before Sep 2026
Kalshi 34% Suggested: $500–$2,000
CPI below 3% by Aug 2026
Polymarket 52% Suggested: $200–$800
Fed cuts rates Q2 2026
Limitless 41% Suggested: $300–$1,200
Natural language in
Write how you think. No SQL, no complex filters.
Cross-venue mapping
We find the best expressions of your thesis across all venues.
Always-on monitoring
Thesis alerts you when news changes your position's edge.