Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
Frontier model forecasts
GPT-5
OpenAI
1%+0.5pp
FT result not a Stuttgart win; no DFB reversal/forfeit weeks later.
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
1%+0.5pp
Match resolved; market stable at 1% on high volume. Stuttgart did not win. Holding prior.
Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 0.5% | 99.5% | $756.6k | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
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<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxbundesligagame-26apr26vfbsvw/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>react
<PMEmbed slug="kxbundesligagame-26apr26vfbsvw" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If Stuttgart wins the Stuttgart vs Bremen professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 3 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →