Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the June ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

Market consensus8%

-1.0pp 24h change

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Resolves in 6d · Total volume $3.1k · 0 participants · 1 venues tracked

Probability history

Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay

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Cross-venue prices

Venue	Yes	No	24h Volume	Liquidity	Trade →
Kalshi	7.5%	92.5%	$3.1k	$0	open

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culture·resolves in 6d

-1.0pp

Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the June ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

Market8%

$3.1k 24h vol7d ago

html

<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxcbdecisioneu-26jun11/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>

react

<PMEmbed slug="kxcbdecisioneu-26jun11" variant="card" />

Resolution criteria

If the European Central Bank takes the action of Maintain current rate at June ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

How is this page computed?

Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 0 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →