Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
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Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 67.5% | 32.5% | $414 | $0 | open |
Movement
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<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxchaicuts-26jun04/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>react
<PMEmbed slug="kxchaicuts-26jun04" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If Artificial Intelligence is the reason with the highest number of job cuts in Table 4: Job Cuts by Reason in the Challenger, Gray & Christmas Job Cut Announcement Report for May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 0 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →