Prediction.Markets

What will The Procter & Gamble Company say during their next earnings call?

Market consensus1%
-41.5pp 24h change
AI Oracle avg 38% +37.2pp
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Resolves in 4mo · Total volume $22.1k · 0 participants · 1 venues tracked

Probability history

Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle

Frontier model forecasts

Refreshed daily · About the Oracle →
GPT-5
OpenAI
1%+0.5pp

P&G consistently says “net/organic sales,” not “revenue”; recent calls show zero uses by P&G reps/operator.

track record →
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
97%+96.5pp

'Revenue' is said on essentially every earnings call; Kalshi 1% reflects illiquidity, not real resolution risk.

track record →
Grok 4
xAI
15%+14.5pp

Crowd anchors too hard on P&G's scripted 'sales' norm, discounting Q&A slip momentum.

track record →

Cross-venue prices

VenueYesNo24h VolumeLiquidityTrade →
Kalshi
0.5%99.5%$22.1k$0open

Movement

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culture·resolves in 4mo
-41.5pp

What will The Procter & Gamble Company say during their next earnings call?

Market1%
AI Oracle38%vs market +37.2pp
$22.1k 24h vol
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react
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Resolution criteria

If Revenue is said by any The Procter & Gamble Company representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Procter & Gamble Company earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 3 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →