Prediction.Markets

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.6%?

Market consensus97%
+0.0pp 24h change
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Resolves in 20d · Total volume $4.4k · 0 participants · 2 venues tracked

Probability history

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Cross-venue prices

VenueYesNo24h VolumeLiquidityTrade →
Polymarket
17.5%82.5%$0$1.5kopen
Kalshi
96.5%3.5%$4.4k$0open

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culture·resolves in 20d
+0.0pp

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.6%?

Market97%
$4.4k 24h vol
html
<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxesgdpyoyf-26jun25/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>
react
<PMEmbed slug="kxesgdpyoyf-26jun25" variant="card" />

Resolution criteria

If Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 is above 2.6 , then the market resolves to Yes.

How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 0 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →