Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
Frontier model forecasts
GPT-5
OpenAI
12%+6.0pp
Top-3 clay contender with 2024 RG final and Rome title; 7% is stale—12% fair.
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
8%+2.0pp
Zverev is a top-3 player and clay specialist reaching 2024 final, but Alcaraz/Sinner dominance caps his odds.
Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 12.5% | 87.5% | $143.8k | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
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<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxfomen-26/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>react
<PMEmbed slug="kxfomen-26" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If Flavio Cobolli wins the 2026 French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 2 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →