Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
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Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 99.5% | 0.5% | $557.5k | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
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<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxintlfriendlygame-26jun03luxita/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>react
<PMEmbed slug="kxintlfriendlygame-26jun03luxita" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If Italy wins the Luxembourg vs Italy professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 0 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →