Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
Frontier model forecasts
Grok 4
xAI
22%+21.5pp
Crowd overreacted to recent loss; memetic momentum in social sentiment points to undervalued rebound.
Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 0.5% | 99.5% | $15.0M | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
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<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxipl-26/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>react
<PMEmbed slug="kxipl-26" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If the Gujarat Titans are the 2026 Indian Premier League Cricket Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 1 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →