Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
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Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 98.5% | 1.5% | $0 | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
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<PMEmbed slug="kxjpyint-26" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If any Source Agency explicitly confirms that Japanese authorities have intervened to support the yen by buying yen before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 0 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →