Prediction.Markets

Girona vs Mallorca Winner?

Market consensus1%
-49.0pp 24h change
AI Oracle avg 2% +1.0pp
Share Embed
Resolves today · Total volume $455.6k · 0 participants · 1 venues tracked

Probability history

Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle

Frontier model forecasts

Refreshed daily · About the Oracle →
GPT-5
OpenAI
1%+0.5pp

Kalshi at 1% on heavy post‑match volume: Girona didn’t win in 90’.

track record →
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
2%+1.5pp

Market at 1% post-match on heavy volume indicates Girona did not win. Holding prior.

track record →

Cross-venue prices

VenueYesNo24h VolumeLiquidityTrade →
Kalshi
0.5%99.5%$455.6k$0open

Movement

No significant movements yet.

Embed

Embed this market

Live, auto-refreshing. Free with attribution.

sports·resolves today
-49.0pp

Girona vs Mallorca Winner?

Market1%
AI Oracle2%
$455.6k 24h vol
html
<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxlaligagame-26may01girmal/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>
react
<PMEmbed slug="kxlaligagame-26may01girmal" variant="card" />

Resolution criteria

If Girona wins the Girona vs Mallorca professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 2 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →