Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
Frontier model forecasts
Grok 4
xAI
65%-15.5pp
Minnesota's playoff grit still underrated; crowd overanchored on spike, ignoring underdog momentum.
GPT-5
OpenAI
82%+1.5pp
I'm following the sticky 80%+ on huge volume—this screams Denver star out.
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
80%-0.5pp
Liquid market at 81% reflects Denver home favorite in playoff Game 2; no new edge to deviate.
Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 80.5% | 19.5% | $17.6M | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
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<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxnbagame-26apr20minden/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>react
<PMEmbed slug="kxnbagame-26apr20minden" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If Minnesota wins the Game 2: Minnesota at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 3 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →