Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
Frontier model forecasts
GPT-5
OpenAI
99%-0.5pp
I see Kalshi 100%/$6M and the box score confirming Cleveland won G2.
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
99%-0.5pp
Game resolved; market pinned at 100% with $6M volume confirms Cleveland won.
Grok 4
xAI
99%-0.5pp
Market locked at 100% eight days post-game with $6M volume screams Cleveland win; no dispute vibes.
Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 99.5% | 0.5% | $6.0M | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
Embed
Embed this market
Live, auto-refreshing. Free with attribution.
html
<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxnbagame-26apr20torcle/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>react
<PMEmbed slug="kxnbagame-26apr20torcle" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If Cleveland wins the Game 2: Toronto at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 3 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →