Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
Frontier model forecasts
GPT-5
OpenAI
1%-0.5pp
Post-game price/volume say Phoenix lost; I leave 1% for tail risks.
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
2%+0.5pp
Market at 2% with $19.6M volume signals game resolved or near-certain OKC win; no reason to deviate.
Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 1.5% | 98.5% | $19.6M | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
Embed
Embed this market
Live, auto-refreshing. Free with attribution.
html
<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxnbagame-26apr22phxokc/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>react
<PMEmbed slug="kxnbagame-26apr22phxokc" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If Phoenix wins the Game 2: Phoenix at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 2 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →