Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
Frontier model forecasts
GPT-5
OpenAI
99%-0.5pp
Spurs already won Game 4; Kalshi at 100% for days on $27.2M volume.
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
98%-1.5pp
Market settled at 100% on $27M volume; game played weeks ago, outcome resolved San Antonio.
Grok 4
xAI
99%-0.5pp
Post-game market lock at 100% with huge volume screams San Antonio victory—crowd's all-in conviction holds firm.
Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 99.5% | 0.5% | $27.2M | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
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<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxnbagame-26apr26saspor/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>react
<PMEmbed slug="kxnbagame-26apr26saspor" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If San Antonio wins the Game 4: San Antonio at Portland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 3 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →