Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
Frontier model forecasts
GPT-5
OpenAI
1%+0.5pp
Postgame price 1% on $19.4M; Denver won G5; no protest—this is done.
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
1%+0.5pp
Game already resolved; Denver won. Market at 1% on $19M volume confirms.
Grok 4
xAI
1%+0.5pp
Crowd locked in at 1% post-game with huge volume; no reversal signals emerging.
Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 0.5% | 99.5% | $19.4M | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
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<PMEmbed slug="kxnbagame-26apr27minden" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If Minnesota wins the Game 5: Minnesota at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 3 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →