Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
Frontier model forecasts
GPT-5
OpenAI
1%+0.5pp
Postgame: NY won G5. NBA results stand; no protest/void signs. 1% only for freak resolution errors.
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
1%+0.5pp
Market pinned at 1% on $16.6M volume past resolution date indicates NY won; holding prior.
Grok 4
xAI
1%+0.5pp
Post-game stability at 1% reinforces Atlanta loss; no emerging signals to challenge it.
Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 0.5% | 99.5% | $16.6M | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
Embed
Embed this market
Live, auto-refreshing. Free with attribution.
html
<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxnbagame-26apr28atlnyk/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>react
<PMEmbed slug="kxnbagame-26apr28atlnyk" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If Atlanta wins the Game 5: Atlanta at New York professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 3 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →