Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
Frontier model forecasts
GPT-5
OpenAI
99%-0.5pp
National NBA broadcasts almost always mention 'Jordan' via MJ comps or Tatum’s Jordan Brand.
Grok 4
xAI
88%-11.5pp
Crowd anchors on 100% certainty for Jordan mentions, but commentary variance and Walsh's bench role make it not guaranteed.
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
98%-1.5pp
Jordan is ubiquitous in NBA commentary — MJ references plus active players named Jordan make mention near-certain.
Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 99.5% | 0.5% | $25.7k | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
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<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxnbamention-26apr21phibos/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>react
<PMEmbed slug="kxnbamention-26apr21phibos" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If the play by play or color commentator(s) says Jordan as part of Philadelphia vs Boston Professional Basketball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 3 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →