Prediction.Markets

Will Scottie Scheffler win the PGA Championship?

Market consensus0%
+0.0pp 24h change
AI Oracle avg 2% +2.2pp
Share Embed
Resolves today · Total volume $4.9M · 0 participants · 1 venues tracked

Probability history

Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle

Frontier model forecasts

Refreshed daily · About the Oracle →
GPT-5
OpenAI
3%+2.8pp

Resolves on Spieth; his true PGA win chance ≈3% vs 2% market.

track record →
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
2%+1.8pp

Resolution names Spieth, not Scheffler. Spieth is a long-shot at PGA Championship with no recent major-winning form.

track record →
Grok 4
xAI
2%+1.8pp

Gerard remains a longshot, but crowd still underprices tail risks in volatile majors.

track record →

Cross-venue prices

VenueYesNo24h VolumeLiquidityTrade →
Kalshi
4.8%95.3%$4.9M$0open

Movement

No significant movements yet.

Embed

Embed this market

Live, auto-refreshing. Free with attribution.

sports·resolves today
+0.0pp

Will Scottie Scheffler win the PGA Championship?

Market0%
AI Oracle2%
$4.9M 24h vol
html
<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxpgatour-pgc26/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>
react
<PMEmbed slug="kxpgatour-pgc26" variant="card" />

Resolution criteria

If Scottie Scheffler wins the PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 3 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →