What will be the top AI model this month?

Market consensus1%

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Resolves today · Total volume $966 · 0 participants · 2 venues tracked

Probability history

Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay

AI Oracle

Frontier model forecasts

Oracle forecasts are generated daily. Check back soon.

Cross-venue prices

Venue	Yes	No	24h Volume	Liquidity	Trade →
Polymarket	5.0%	95.0%	$0	$4.5k	open
Kalshi	0.5%	99.5%	$966	$0	open

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What will be the top AI model this month?

Market1%

$966 24h vol17d ago

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<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxtopmodel-26may31/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>

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<PMEmbed slug="kxtopmodel-26may31" variant="card" />

Resolution criteria

If claude-opus-4-7-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

How is this page computed?

Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 0 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →