Prediction.Markets

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Spirit Airlines?

Market consensus7%
-1.0pp 24h change
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Resolves in 7mo · Total volume $19.9k · 0 participants · 2 venues tracked

Probability history

Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
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Cross-venue prices

VenueYesNo24h VolumeLiquidityTrade →
Polymarket
12.5%87.5%$7$2.2kopen
Kalshi
6.5%93.5%$19.9k$0open

Movement

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culture·resolves in 7mo
-1.0pp

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Spirit Airlines?

Market7%
$19.9k 24h vol
html
<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxusacompanystake-27jan01/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>
react
<PMEmbed slug="kxusacompanystake-27jan01" variant="card" />

Resolution criteria

If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of Spirit Airlines before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 0 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →