Probability history
Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle
Frontier model forecasts
Oracle forecasts are generated daily. Check back soon.
Cross-venue prices
| Venue | Yes | No | 24h Volume | Liquidity | Trade → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi | 96.5% | 3.5% | $0 | $0 | open |
Movement
No significant movements yet.
Embed
Embed this market
Live, auto-refreshing. Free with attribution.
html
<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxusdirr-26may29/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>react
<PMEmbed slug="kxusdirr-26may29" variant="card" />Resolution criteria
If USD/IRR exchange rate published on May 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET is above 1,600,000 per 1 USD, then the market resolves to Yes.
How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 0 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →