Prediction.Markets

Will Pamela Evette be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Market consensus88%
+0.0pp 24h change
AI Oracle avg 90% +2.0pp
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Resolves in 5mo · Total volume $16.4k · 0 participants · 1 venues tracked

Probability history

Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle

Frontier model forecasts

Refreshed daily · About the Oracle →
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
92%+4.5pp

Market consensus is stable at ~93% with recent slight uptick; primary likely near, Evette is favored incumbent LG.

track record →
Grok 4
xAI
87%-0.5pp

Sitting LG and McMaster ally with no serious challenger yet surfaced.

track record →

Cross-venue prices

VenueYesNo24h VolumeLiquidityTrade →
Kalshi
87.5%12.5%$16.4k$0open

Movement

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politics·resolves in 5mo
+0.0pp

Will Pamela Evette be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Market88%
AI Oracle90%
$16.4k 24h vol
html
<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxgovscnomr-26/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>
react
<PMEmbed slug="kxgovscnomr-26" variant="card" />

Resolution criteria

If Alan Wilson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 2 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →