Prediction.Markets

Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

Market consensus24%
+0.0pp 24h change
AI Oracle avg 6% -17.5pp
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Resolves in 1.0y · Total volume $3.4M · 0 participants · 1 venues tracked

Probability history

Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle

Frontier model forecasts

Refreshed daily · About the Oracle →
Grok 4
xAI
6%-17.5pp

Meme candidate with zero infrastructure; 27% price is pure narrative inflation.

track record →

Cross-venue prices

VenueYesNo24h VolumeLiquidityTrade →
Kalshi
6.3%93.8%$3.4M$0open

Movement

No significant movements yet.

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politics·resolves in 1.0y
+0.0pp

Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

Market24%
AI Oracle6%vs market -17.5pp
$3.4M 24h vol
html
<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxmayorla-26/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>
react
<PMEmbed slug="kxmayorla-26" variant="card" />

Resolution criteria

If Spencer Pratt wins the Los Angeles Mayoral Election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 1 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →