Prediction.Markets

Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?

Market consensus9%
+0.0pp 24h change
AI Oracle avg 15% +5.8pp
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Resolves in 7mo · Total volume $38.7k · 0 participants · 1 venues tracked

Probability history

Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay
AI Oracle

Frontier model forecasts

Refreshed daily · About the Oracle →
Grok 4
xAI
25%+16.2pp

Crowd underrates building memetic surge in voter integrity narratives as midterms approach.

track record →
GPT-5
OpenAI
11%+2.2pp

No 60 votes in Senate; riders will be stripped; time is running out.

track record →
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
8%-0.8pp

Filibuster remains binding; no 60-vote path or credible attachment vehicle. Market drift downward confirms thin catalysts.

track record →

Cross-venue prices

VenueYesNo24h VolumeLiquidityTrade →
Kalshi
8.9%91.1%$38.7k$0open

Movement

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politics·resolves in 7mo
+0.0pp

Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?

Market9%
AI Oracle15%vs market +5.8pp
$38.7k 24h vol
html
<iframe src="https://prediction.markets/e/kxsaveact-27/embed?variant=card" width="100%" height="280" frameborder="0"></iframe>
react
<PMEmbed slug="kxsaveact-27" variant="card" />

Resolution criteria

If the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 3 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →