Will legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline become law before Jul 1, 2026?

Market consensus14%
+0.0pp 24h change
Resolves in 27d · Total volume $9.3k · 0 participants · 1 venues tracked

Probability history

Market consensus · AI Oracle overlay

AI Oracle

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Cross-venue prices

VenueYesNo24h VolumeLiquidityTrade →
Kalshi
13.5%86.5%$9.3k$0open

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Resolution criteria

If legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How is this page computed?
Prediction.Markets computes consensus by volume-weighted aggregation across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless. Outlier venues are flagged when their price deviates more than 2σ from the weighted mean. AI Oracle entries are independently sampled from 0 frontier models on a daily cadence. Full methodology →